Validation in Simulation: Various Positions in the Philosophy of Science
- 1 August 1998
- journal article
- Published by Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) in Management Science
- Vol. 44 (8) , 1087-1099
- https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.44.8.1087
Abstract
There is still considerable doubt and even anxiety among simulation modelers as to what the methodologically correct guidelines or procedures for validating simulation models should be. Epistemically, the approaches one finds in the simulation literature run the gamut from objectivist to relativist with shades in between. At present in the philosophy of science, there appears to be a convergence toward a nonalgorithmic but discursive and nonrelativistic view of the argumentation involved in warranting scientific theorizing. The present paper attempts to give a description of the various philosophical positions as well as to summarize their problems and the kinds of evidentiary arguments they would each allow in arriving at defensible simulation models. From the debate, we attempt to set out a perspective that frees the practioner to pursue a varied set of approaches to validation with a diminished burden of methodological anxiety. Reciprocally this perspective does not let the modeler off of the hook but rather converts the validation problem into an ethical problem in which the practitioner must responsibly and professionally argue for the warrant of the model.Keywords
This publication has 17 references indexed in Scilit:
- Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth SciencesScience, 1994
- On the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian scienceSystem Dynamics Review, 1992
- THE ARGUMENTUM AD HOMINEM AND TWO THESES ABOUT EVOLUTIONARY EPISTEMOLOGY: “GODELIAN” REFLECTIONSMetaphilosophy, 1991
- A simulation model for evaluating a set of emergency vehicle base locations: Development, validation, and usageSocio-Economic Planning Sciences, 1990
- The growth of knowledge: Testing a theory of scientific revolutions with a formal modelTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 1985
- Friedman's Positive Economics and Philosophy of ScienceSouthern Economic Journal, 1982
- Establishing the credibility of simulationsSIMULATION, 1980
- Kuhn versus Lakatos or Paradigms versus research programmes in the history of economicsPublished by Cambridge University Press (CUP) ,1976
- Reliability of Models in the Social SciencesInterfaces, 1973
- Worlds in CollisionPhysics Today, 1950