The Balance of Care Project: Modelling the Allocation of Health and Personal Social Services

Abstract
The Balance of Care model was designed to predict from aggregate health and personal social service plans the care which will be received by different types of potential client. Planners can use the model to assess the implications of various competing strategies and hence choose the one which will yield a pattern of care closest to that desired. In order to predict the pattern of care inherent in a service strategy it is necessary to establish the priorities governing the allocation of services to clients. This paper concentrates on the structure of the model and the techniques developed to deduce priorities from the past behaviour of the health and personal social service system. Applications of the model are described more fully elsewhere.

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