Prediction of critical events in contexts of different numbers of alternative events.
- 1 January 1956
- journal article
- research article
- Published by American Psychological Association (APA) in Journal of Experimental Psychology
- Vol. 52 (6) , 377-380
- https://doi.org/10.1037/h0045704
Abstract
Predictions of critical events occurring with relative frequencies of 1/2, 1/4, and 1/6 were investigated within contexts of either 1, 3, or 5 alternative events. Predictions of occurrences of critical events were uninfluenced by the different numbers of alternative events but were influenced by the relative frequency of occurrence of the critical event. The numbers of correct predictions were in close agreement with what would be predicted according to mathematical expectation.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- A test of a model for multiple-choice behavior.Journal of Experimental Psychology, 1955
- Analysis of a verbal conditioning situation in terms of statistical learning theory.Journal of Experimental Psychology, 1954