Run probabilities and the motion of a particle on a given path

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Abstract
Let {Xn} be a sequence of independent (or Markov dependent) trials taking values in a given set S. Let JR be a given path of length k in S, i.e. R is a run of length k whose elements come from S. {Xn} may indicate the motion of a particle on S. We consider the problem of finding the probability that at trial m, the particle has for the first time moved length l ≦ k on R which is equivalent to finding the probability of the first occurrence of any subrun of length l ≦ k of R. In the case of l = k this gives the result of Schwager [6].

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