Overreaction, Delayed Reaction, and Contrarian Profits
- 1 October 1995
- journal article
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in The Review of Financial Studies
- Vol. 8 (4) , 973-993
- https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/8.4.973
Abstract
This article examines the contribution of stock price overreaction and delayed reaction to the profitability of contrarian strategies. The evidence indicates that stock prices overreact to firm-specific information, but react with a delay to common factors. Delayed reactions to common factors give rise to a size-related lead-lag effect in stock returns. In sharp contrast with the conclusions in the extant literature, however, this article finds that most of the contrarian profit is due to stock price overreaction and a very small fraction of the profit can be attributed to the lead-lag effect.Keywords
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