Supplementary report: The utility of correctly predicting infrequent events.

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Abstract
"In spite of wide variations within several experimental parameters, the same result has emerged as before. In order to maximize prediction to trial n from preceding trials on which the less or least frequent event occurred, it is necessary to consider S's previous prediction in addition to the previous actual occurrence. Also, the direction of the effect in the present results supports the original interpretation: that there is a relaively greater utility to S of correctly predicting the occurrence of the less (or least) frequent event. It would be interesting to see if the same phenomenon might occur generally in any type of learning situation in which S, finding E's 'game' tedious and uninteresting, can and does invent one of his own." (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA, all rights reserved)

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