Multivariate analyses as aids to diagnosis and assessment of prognosis in gastrointestinal cancer

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Abstract
The role of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (gamma GT), phosphohexose isomerase (PHI), pseudouridine (psi) and acute phase reactant proteins (C-reactive protein (CRP) alpha 1-antichymotrypsin (ACT) and alpha 1-acid glycoprotein (AGP] in assessing the prognosis of gastrointestinal neoplasms and the discriminant function in distinguishing benign from malignant diseases of the GI tract was examined. In stomach cancer pre-operative levels of CRP can help in the identification of the patients with a resectable tumour, the pre-operative biochemical measurements do not give any further information on prognosis once stage and site are taken into account. In colorectal cancer pre-operative ACT levels give additional prognostic information once the clinical factors, Dukes stage, sex and age have been accounted for, PHI levels are on the border line of significance. A discriminant function has been devised using sex, CEA, psi, gamma GT, ACT and PHI that can identify 89% of Dukes "D" patients prior to surgery with a misclassification of 7% of other cases of colorectal cancer. A discriminant function using all the biochemical variates separated the cancer from non-cancer patients. The false positive rate for cancer was 16% and a false negative rate of 19%, when the cut-off level was set at 0.7.