Prediction for small subgroups

5 September 1989

journal article
research article
Published by The Royal Society in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences

Vol. 325 (1226) , 185-187
https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.1989.0084

Abstract

Prediction limits are calculated for the number of events likely to occur in a specified time period in an exponentially growing epidemic. The basis for the prediction is the total number of events observed in the past.