Increasing Incidence of Reported Cases of AIDS

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Abstract
After the publication of data from the Centers for Disease Control showing an increase of only 9 percent in newly diagnosed cases of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) during 1989,1 some predicted an early end to the epidemic of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and AIDS. One report went so far as to state that the epidemic had peaked in 1988 and would continue to decline until the mid-1990s.2 Unfortunately, data from 1990 do not support these optimistic projections.3 The 1989 findings may have resulted from underreporting4 , 5 or successful pharmacotherapeutic interventions,6 or they may have been based on some other, unidentified phenomenon.

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