Abstract
The lodgepole needle miner, Recurvaria starki Freeman, has been studied intensively since 1948. Life tables, survival, and death-rate curves show clearly that there are five periods in the 2-year life cycle of the needle miner during which extensive mortality may occur: (1) between egg formation and oviposition; (2) between oviposition and larval establishment; (3) during the first larval hibernation; (4) during the second larval hibernation; (5) during the spring of moth emergence. Population success is also undoubtedly affected by conditions during the adult life.Population sampling has shown that the outbreak has declined since 1948. Defoliation and increment studies have shown that the period of greatest defoliation occurred from 1940 to 1944 and that the outbreak probably began in the late 1930's. The major cause of the decline was severe winter temperatures, probably during the coldest month. Parasitism was not an important factor in the outbreak decline, apparently because it was controlled in the same manner as the host, by winter temperatures. Other natural control factors are discussed as well as the possible effects of climatic factors on oviposition and fecundity.A detailed survey of weather records since 1920 and yearly averages since 1885 suggest that release of the needle miner population was due to a warming trend in the climate of western Canada. This trend began in the late 1930's, reached a peak in the mid-1940's, and has declined since that time. The warming trend in northern latitudes has been noted by other authors and is substantiated by weather records of this region. It is further postulated that the climate of the Canadian Rocky Mountains is generally too severe for an outbreak of the lodgepole needle miner to be prolonged.