Low-Frequency Variability in a GCM: Three-Dimensional Flow Regimes and Their Dynamics

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Abstract
General circulation models (GCMs) can be used to develop diagnostics for identifying weather regimes. The author has looked for three-dimensional (3D) weather regimes associated with a 10-yr run of the U.K. UGAMP GCM with perpetual January boundary conditions; 3D low-pass empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), using both the 500- and 250-mb streamfunctions (ψ) have been computed. These EOFs provide a low-order phase space in which weather regimes are studied. The technique here is an extension to 3D of that of Haines and Hannachi. They found, within the 500-mb ψ EOF phase space, two local minima of area-averaged ψ-tendency (based on barotropic vorticity dynamics), which were identified as ±Pacific–North America (PNA). In this work, the author demands that both the flow and its tendency be within the phase space spanned by the 3D EOFs. The streamfunction tendency is computed from the two-level quasigeostrophic potential vorticity equation and projected onto the EOF phase space. This projection pro... Abstract General circulation models (GCMs) can be used to develop diagnostics for identifying weather regimes. The author has looked for three-dimensional (3D) weather regimes associated with a 10-yr run of the U.K. UGAMP GCM with perpetual January boundary conditions; 3D low-pass empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), using both the 500- and 250-mb streamfunctions (ψ) have been computed. These EOFs provide a low-order phase space in which weather regimes are studied. The technique here is an extension to 3D of that of Haines and Hannachi. They found, within the 500-mb ψ EOF phase space, two local minima of area-averaged ψ-tendency (based on barotropic vorticity dynamics), which were identified as ±Pacific–North America (PNA). In this work, the author demands that both the flow and its tendency be within the phase space spanned by the 3D EOFs. The streamfunction tendency is computed from the two-level quasigeostrophic potential vorticity equation and projected onto the EOF phase space. This projection pro...

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