Modeling asset returns with alternative stable distributions*
- 1 January 1993
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Econometric Reviews
- Vol. 12 (3) , 261-330
- https://doi.org/10.1080/07474939308800266
Abstract
In the 1960's Benoit Mandelbrot and Eugene Fama argued strongly in favor of the stable Paretian distribution as a model for the unconditional distribution of asset returns. Although a substantial body of subsequent empirical studies supported this position, the stable Paretian model plays a minor role in current empirical work. While in the economics and finance literature stable distributions are virtually exclusively associated with stable Paretian distributions, in this paper we adopt a more fundamental view and extend the concept of stability to a variety of probabilistic schemes. These schemes give rise to alternative stable distributions, which we compare empirically using S&P 500 stock return data. In this comparison the Weibull distribution, associated with both the nonrandom-minimum and geometric-random summation schemes dominates the other stable distributions considered-including the stable Paretian model.Keywords
This publication has 70 references indexed in Scilit:
- Estimation of Stable-Law Parameters: A Comparative StudyJournal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1989
- Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate DynamicsPublished by Springer Nature ,1988
- The Stable-Law Model of Stock ReturnsJournal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1988
- A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of ReturnThe Review of Economics and Statistics, 1987
- Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticityJournal of Econometrics, 1986
- The Behavior of Foreign Exchange RatesJournal of International Business Studies, 1982
- A Comparison of the Stable and Student Distributions as Statistical Models for Stock PricesThe Journal of Business, 1974
- Investigations of Nonstationarity in PricesThe Journal of Business, 1974
- A Reexamination of the Empirical Distribution of Stock Price ChangesJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1973
- A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative PricesEconometrica, 1973