Abstract
For periodically forced nonlinear oscillators permitting escape from a potential well a relation is observed between two well-known phenomena, the period-doubling cascade leading to the chaotic escape of the resonant attractor and the complex dynamics associated with the creation of a structurally unstable homoclinic orbit. The particular homoclinic orbit is identified as that created at the initial change of the period one Birkhoff signature of the invariant manifolds of the hilltop saddle. The primary resonant attractor may thus be viewed as the period one simple Newhouse orbit. Significant subharmonic and superharmonic escape events may likewise be associated with nearby Birkhoff signature changes. Significant information about the global dynamics may thus be obtained with little numerical effort by inspection of the signatures of the invariant manifolds of the hilltop saddle.

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