Forecasting the Motion of Tropical Cyclones*

Abstract
Application of theories of Bjerknes and Holmboe to the motion of tropical cyclones is attempted. The equation for east-west motion is presented and the equation for north-south motion is derived. Rules for motion of tropical cyclones are deduced from these equations, which involve the wind distribution and the geometry of the cyclone. Statistical evidence corroborates use of equations and rules.

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