Automatic Box-Jenkins Forecasting

Abstract
Many authors have demonstrated the superiority of the Box-Jenkins Procedure for forecasting. The only problem preventing more widespread use has been the skill and time needed to produce an acceptable model. This paper describes an approach to the automation of the modelling procedure, which combines a pattern recognition procedure and objective model order testing criterion. The results from an automatic Box-Jenkins modelling program are presented and compare favourably with results from manual analysis given in the literature.

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