A New Dividend Forecasting Procedure that Rejects Bubbles in Asset Prices: The Case of 1929’s Stock Crash
- 1 April 1996
- journal article
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in The Review of Financial Studies
- Vol. 9 (2) , 333-383
- https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/9.2.333
Abstract
Exchange minimum price variation regulation's create discrete bid-ask spreads. If the minimum quotable spread exceeds the spread that otherwise would be quoted, spreads will be wide and the number of shares offered at the bid and ask may be large. A cross-sectional discrete spread model is estimated by using intraday stock quotation spread frequencies. The results are used to project 1/16 spread usage frequencies given a 1/16-tick. Projected changes in quotation sizes and in trade volumes are obtained from regression models. For stocks priced under 10, the models predict spreads would decrease 38 percent, quotation sizes would decrease 16 percent, and daily volume would increase 34 percent.Keywords
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