Notes on the Future of Programming: Breaking the Utility Barrier

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Abstract
In preparing this chapter I felt obliged to look at a number of other discussions of the future of programming. Few of them mention anything resembling the issues discussed here. Instead, probably the most prominent theme is the “complexity barrier”—the tremendous difficulty and cost involved in creating and maintaining huge programs. This is, no doubt, a serious and enduring problem. But it is the most serious one for professional programmers, not nonprofessionals who, at least in terms of numbers, will dominate future use of computers.

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