Determinants of 1950-1970 Change in Illegitimacy Rates in Developed Populations

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Abstract
We use data on 23 populations, a linear regression model, and measures derived from aggregate-level theories to analyze 1950 to 1970 changes in age-specific illegitimacy rates. Illegitimacy rates in 1950 have strong net effects on 1970 levels in most age groups, but a population’s 1950 age at marriage, economic growth rate, and change in the status of women have large and significant net effects on all 23 populations and on change in early 1950 marriage age nations as well. In the 1950 late age at marriage stratum measures with an effect on 19501970 change were economic growth rates and two measures of marital fertility change.

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