Prediction of terminal atrial myocardial repolarisation from incomplete phase 3 data

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Abstract
The duration of the monophasic action potential (MAP) carries prognostic antiarrhythmic information when the recording is done during sinus rhythm (SR) after DC conversion of atrial fibrillation (AF). This study analyses whether it is possible to predict MAP duration during sinus rhythm by analysing the atrial MAP during AF, even though complete myocardial repolarisation is never reached during this arrhythmia. We have therefore evaluated the estimated duration of the action potential (AP) and MAP by exponential extrapolation of phase 3 data. (1) AP studies were done on 11 human atrial myocardial specimens. Resting membrane potential (RMP) and AP duration were better identified when more data obtained during repolarisation were used for prediction. Thus the predicted RMP deviated on average by −0.4% of AF amplitude from the real RMP level when data to 90% repolarisation were used for extrapolation. AP duration at 90% repolarisation correlated well with the real AP duration (r=0.88) at this level of data aquisition. (2) Continuous recording of atrial MAPs was done in 15 patients during AF and in 12 of these during SR after DC conversion. Resting myocardial repolarisation level during AF, RP(EST), and estimated MAP duration, MAPD(EST), could be calculated by exponential extrapolation in 12 patients. The actual repolarisation during fibrillation reached below 90% of the RP(EST) level in eight patients and below 70% in all 12. The MAP duration during SR could be predicted with increasing precision when data closer to the RP(EST) were used for calculation of MAPD(EST). Thus MAPD(EST) correlated well with SR MAP duration when data reaching at least 90% of RP were used (r=0.85). We conclude that exponential extrapolation of incomplete repolarisation data, obtained by catheter recording of atrial MAP during AF, allows prediction of the duration of 90% repolarisation during SR.