Risk Aversion or Myopia? Choices in Repeated Gambles and Retirement Investments
- 1 March 1999
- journal article
- Published by Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) in Management Science
- Vol. 45 (3) , 364-381
- https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.45.3.364
Abstract
We study how decision makers choose when faced with multiple plays of a gamble or investment. When evaluating multiple plays of a simple mixed gamble, a chance to win x or lose y, subjects show a sensitivity to the amount to lose on a single trial, holding the distribution of returns for the portfolio constant; that is, they display “myopic loss aversion.” Many subjects who decline multiple plays of such a gamble will accept it when shown the resulting distribution. This analysis is applied to the problem of retirement investing. We show that workers invest more of their retirement savings in stocks if they are shown long-term (rather than one-year) rates of return.Keywords
This publication has 26 references indexed in Scilit:
- Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market OutlookThe Journal of Portfolio Management, 1998
- Repeated Optional Gambles and Risk AversionManagement Science, 1996
- Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium PuzzleThe Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1995
- Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk TakingManagement Science, 1993
- Movements in the Equity PremiumBrookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1993
- Additional tests of utility theory under unique and repeated conditionsJournal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1991
- Choices, values, and frames.American Psychologist, 1984
- Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under RiskEconometrica, 1979
- Subjective probability: A judgment of representativenessCognitive Psychology, 1972
- Risk-preference in coin-toss gamesJournal of Mathematical Psychology, 1969