Load Forecasting for Distribution Planning-Error and Impact on Design
- 1 March 1983
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems
- Vol. PAS-102 (3) , 675-686
- https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1983.318028
Abstract
An investigation is made into the impact of small area load forecast errors on the planning of a power distribution system. It is shown that traditional error measures are inadequate as indicators of forecast quality. A new method of studying a power system is described. The technique is a 2-D spatial frequency analysis of power system configuration. A new error measure, based on this technique, is described and shown to assess errors proportional to their likely impact on system design. It reveals a number of concepts useful for improving load forecasting and distribution system planning.Keywords
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