Watching Your Posterior: Comment on Seawright

Abstract
In “Testing for Necessary and/or Sufficient Causation,” Jason Seawright (2002) presents an intriguing new Bayesian technique for testing theories that posit necessary conditions. His technique differs in substantial ways from those presented in separate articles by Dion (1998), Ragin (1987), and ourselves (2000) and constitutes a fundamental critique of those procedures. Having criticized quite a few procedures and theorists in our own article, we can hardly complain; rather, we recognize the constructive spirit of the endeavor and, in that same spirit, would like to offer a rejoinder.

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