An optimal isolation policy for an epidemic
- 1 March 1973
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Journal of Applied Probability
- Vol. 10 (02) , 247-262
- https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021900200095267
Abstract
Policies of isolating infectives in the general stochastic epidemic are considered. With costs assigned to the infection and isolation of individuals, an optimal policy is found, which at any stage minimises the expected future cost. An optimal policy is also found for the general deterministic epidemic and the two policies are compared. Finally, some numerical examples are provided.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- The cost of a general stochastic epidemicJournal of Applied Probability, 1972
- Epidemics and Rumours: A SurveyJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 1967