The emigration of graduates from Scotland, 1966–1969

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Abstract
Forsyth D. J. C. and Mercer G. (1973) The emigration of graduates from Scotland, 1966–1969, Reg. Studies 7, 95–107. This paper reports on an empirical investigation of predictors of emigration of graduates from Scottish Universities who took employment in manufacturing industries between 1966 and 1969. The discussion concentrates upon the graduate's university career (university attended, degree taken, class of degree, postgraduate qualification) and the nature of his occupation (type of job, classification of industry and salary). A multivariate computer routine, similar to a stepwise regression technique, called A.I.D. (Automatic Interaction Detection) is utilized to assess the importance and level of interaction between these predictors. The central factor in emigration is found to be the nationality of the graduate. Amongst Scots only the type of industry, university attended and nature of job emerge as the most noteworthy predictors of emigration. This provides additional evidence to support claims for the need to modernize Scotland's industrial structure if the high level of net emigration is to be counteracted.

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