County Characteristics and Elderly Net Migration Rates

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Abstract
A model comprising county characteristics measuring amenities, urbanization, service characteristics, and sociodemographic characteristics explains sub-stantial proportions of the variation in net migration rates for the young and old elderly for three different decades in New England. Over time (1940-1980), both the net migration rate patterns of the two age groups and the county characteristics that make significant contributions to explanation of the two groups' rates become more similar. The model is least successful for the 1950-1960 decade, suggesting support for the turnaround thesis. However, at the regional scale of analysis, both amenity and urbanization characteristics associated with high rates of net migration do not substantiate a turnaround in migration behavior.