Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.
- 1 January 1981
- journal article
- Published by American Psychological Association (APA) in Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance
- Vol. 7 (4) , 928-935
- https://doi.org/10.1037//0096-1523.7.4.928
Abstract
This study reports on physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.Keywords
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