Assessing Bias and Fit of Global and Local Hazard Models
- 1 February 1991
- journal article
- research article
- Published by SAGE Publications in Sociological Methods & Research
- Vol. 19 (3) , 354-387
- https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124191019003004
Abstract
This article assesses the bias and fit of a hazard rate model by comparing predicted and nonparametric estimates of survivor probabilities. These comparisons also generate several diagnostic displays for event history data. We illustrate these diagnostic methods for several global and local hazard models using data on age at first marriage for women from the June 1980 Current Population Survey. Our results suggest that a nonproportional local Gompertz model performs better than other models we examined.Keywords
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