Population Estimates of Intravenous Drug Users and HIV Infection in Los Angeles County
- 1 January 1993
- journal article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in International Journal of the Addictions
- Vol. 28 (8) , 695-709
- https://doi.org/10.3109/10826089309062167
Abstract
This study applies multiple-capture models to drug treatment data and the synthetic estimation method to arrestee data to provide estimates of the number of IVDUs in Los Angeles County in 1989. Based on the 5% HIV-prevalence rate currently found in IVDUs in Los Angeles, it is estimated that there could be as many as 9,500 HIV-infected IVDUs. The estimates of IVDUs are generally higher than those obtained by back-calculation methods which often undercount IVDU-related AIDS cases and do not consider deaths for causes other than HIV infection.Keywords
This publication has 16 references indexed in Scilit:
- Some statistical issues in studies of the epidemiology of aidsStatistics in Medicine, 1990
- An overview of AIDS modelingNew Directions for Program Evaluation, 1990
- A Larger Spectrum of Severe HIV-1—Related Disease in Intravenous Drug Users in New York CityScience, 1988
- The Epidemiology of AIDS in the U.S.Scientific American, 1988
- A Method for Obtaining Short-Term Projections and Lower Bounds on the Size of the AIDS EpidemicJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1988
- Epidemiology of HIV Infection and AIDS in the United StatesScience, 1988
- MINIMUM SIZE OF THE ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME (AIDS) EPIDEMIC IN THE UNITED STATESThe Lancet, 1986
- Estimating the Complete Sample Size from an Incomplete Poisson SampleJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1978
- A note on the multiple-recapture censusBiometrika, 1965
- Explicit estimates from capture-recapture data with both death and immigration-stochastic modelBiometrika, 1965