An Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution
- 1 January 1983
- journal article
- Published by Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) in Management Science
- Vol. 29 (1) , 24-32
- https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.29.1.24
Abstract
This paper proposes a set of axioms for combining expert probability assessments. The axioms provide a framework for understanding previous results, and are used to derive a new method for combining event probabilities from different sources into a single estimate.Keywords
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