REALIGNMENT BEGINS?

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Abstract
Results from statewide surveys contain signs of an emerging partisan realignment in Florida since early 1980. After a period of stability in the relative sizes of the mass party coalitions, a surge in Republican Party identifiers and a parallel decline in Democrats appeared in the months after the 1980 presidential election. This surge has been sustained through January 1982. Partisan changes during this period were pronounced among conservatives and the young, where they also have a distinct ideological flavor. Aggregate partisan shifts appear among older voters as well, but they are smaller and can be accounted for largely by the acquisition of partisanship by nonpartisans. The Florida data provide a snapshot of partisan movements during the realignment process—serving to both test and refine realignment theory.

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