Growth Curve Analysis Applied to Ammunition Deterioration
- 1 January 1996
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Quality Technology
- Vol. 28 (1) , 71-80
- https://doi.org/10.1080/00224065.1996.11979638
Abstract
Ammunition deterioration during storage has considerable economic consequences. Thus, a reliable prediction model for the ammunition deterioration rate is necessary for long-term procurement and maintenance planning. The purpose of this paper is to formulate a prediction model for ammunition deterioration rates in terms of concurrent characteristics such as depot condition and vendor information using a random effects growth curve analysis. The resulting prediction model can be used to determine the appropriate time for reorder or renovation of ammunition before the quality reaches unacceptable levels. A two-stage analysis is used to estimate parameters involved in the prediction model. Necessary estimation methods are discussed and an example is given to illustrate the procedure.Keywords
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