Compound Poisson processes, as modified by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
- 1 October 1975
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Scandinavian Actuarial Journal
- Vol. 1975 (4) , 226-232
- https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.1975.10405101
Abstract
Assume that {C(t), 0 ⩽ t < ∞} is a compound Poisson stochastic process, which models a collective risk situation. Let {I(t), 0 ⩽ t < ∞} be a stochastic process describing the investment performance deviations (from the expected) over time. It is assumed that the I(t) process is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O.U.) process. Such a process is Gaussian (normal) and Markovian. Its conditional mean function reflects the stabilizing effects needed in a model for an economic process in which excessive movements are rare. Let (t), 0 ⩽ t < ∞ and {L(t), 0 ⩽ t < ∞} be random processes representing the deviations from the operating and lapse expense assumptions. It is assumed that they are O.U. processes, and that the four processes are independent of each other. A risk process (t), 0 ⩽ t < ∞ is formed by a linear combination of the four processes. For the risk process, probabilities of ruin are discussed. A detailed example is provided. References to the recent papers by Harald Bohman, and Olof Thorin are given.Keywords
This publication has 5 references indexed in Scilit:
- Asymptotic distributions for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processJournal of Applied Probability, 1975
- On the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability for an infinite period when the epochs of claims form a renewal processScandinavian Actuarial Journal, 1974
- Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities for a finite periodASTIN Bulletin, 1973
- Exemplification of Ruin ProbabilitiesASTIN Bulletin, 1971
- Analytical steps towards a numerical calculation of the ruin probability for a finite period when the riskprocess is of the Poisson type or of the more general type studied by Sparre AndersenASTIN Bulletin, 1971