Vacation home location: A model for simulating the residential development of rural recreation areas

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Abstract
Burby R. J. III, Donnelly T. G. and Weiss S. F. (1972) Vacation home location: A model for simulating the residential development of rural recreation areas, Reg. Studies 6, 421–439. Vacation home communities are becoming increasingly common on the periphery of large metropolitan areas. While these developments pose a number of serious environmental and service problems for affected local governments, existing planning methodologies have ignored the spatial structure of vacation housing. Analysis of the vacation home development process highlights factors leading to environmental deterioration and indicates the extent to which urban and vacation home location decisions are based on different locational criteria. Utilizing this information and data describing the Lake Norman, North Carolina, and Lake Sidney Lanier, Georgia, reservoir areas, a computer model for simulating urban and vacation home development patterns is presented and evaluated. The model provides planners and policy makers with a useful tool to evaluate the effects of policy alternatives on recreation area development patterns and forecast the probable location of residential growth.

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