A Stochastic Model of the Frequency and Duration of Weather Events
Open Access
- 1 October 1966
- journal article
- Published by American Meteorological Society in Journal of Applied Meteorology
- Vol. 5 (5) , 606-624
- https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1966)005<0606:asmotf>2.0.co;2
Abstract
A simple Markov chain has been demonstrated to be a potentially useful device for making estimates of the frequencies and durations, from several hours to several weeks, of a large variety of weather events. In order to answer the practical questions, it was found necessary to simulate probability distributions by a Monte Carlo exercise. The resulting eight sets of charts have wide applicability. Abstract A simple Markov chain has been demonstrated to be a potentially useful device for making estimates of the frequencies and durations, from several hours to several weeks, of a large variety of weather events. In order to answer the practical questions, it was found necessary to simulate probability distributions by a Monte Carlo exercise. The resulting eight sets of charts have wide applicability.Keywords
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