A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments
- 1 October 1982
- journal article
- Published by Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) in Management Science
- Vol. 28 (10) , 1137-1148
- https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.28.10.1137
Abstract
This paper presents an axiomatic approach to the problem of aggregating expert assessments of an event's probability into some group probability assessment. A multiplicative formula is derived.Keywords
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