VOTING ON CALIFORNIA'S TAX AND EXPENDITURE LIMITATION INITIATIVE

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Abstract
This paper investigates electorate behavior on California's Proposition 1 (November 1973), a statewide Initiative whose passage would have Constitutionally limited state taxes and expenditures. Voting results are analyzed in terms of the expected incidence of the Initiative and several hypotheses about redistributive choice. As hypothesized, the electorate voted largely in its economic self-interest, narrowly conceived, as if it was well aware of the expected redistributive effects of the Initiative. This result suggests that policy-makers should understand the redistributive effects of an issue and expect the large majority of support to come from voters who believe that they will receive direct net benefits from its passage.

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