The Markov Process as a Means of Determining Generating-Unit State Probabilities for Use in Spinning Reserve Applications
- 1 April 1969
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems
- Vol. PAS-88 (4) , 423-430
- https://doi.org/10.1109/tpas.1969.292464
Abstract
A method is presented showing the use of the Markov process to determine the state probabilities of generating units as functions of time, i.e., the probabilities that at some given time, normally less than 24 hours, a unit will be in either the operating state, a derated state, or the forced-outage state. These probabilities can be used in a loss-of-load probability (LOLP) program for determining spinning reserve requirements.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- Application of Probability Methods to the Determination of Spinning Reserve Requirements for the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland InterconnectionIEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1963
- Matkematical Models for Use in the Simulation of Power Generation Outages I-Fundamental ConsiderationsTransactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems, 1959