The Genesis of Hurricane Guillermo: TEXMEX Analyses and a Modeling Study

Abstract
The transformation of a mesoscale convective system into Hurricane Guillermo was captured by aircraft and Doppler wind data during the Tropical Experiment in Mexico. The early phase of the system evolves in a way very similar to previously documented mesoscale convective systems, with a midlevel mesocyclone developing in the stratiform precipitation region. More unusually, the cyclone extends to low altitudes: A weak cyclone is discernable even in the 300-m altitude wind field. After another day of evolution, a small, surface-based warm-core cyclone is observed to develop within the relatively cold air associated with the mesocyclone aloft. This mesocyclone develops into a hurricane over the subsequent day. A nonhydrostatic, axisymmetric numerical model is used to explore the evolution of the initially cold-core, midlevel vortex into a tropical cyclone. A mesoscale, midlevel “showerhead” is switched on in an initially quiescent, tropical atmosphere overlying a warm ocean surface. Evaporation of t... Abstract The transformation of a mesoscale convective system into Hurricane Guillermo was captured by aircraft and Doppler wind data during the Tropical Experiment in Mexico. The early phase of the system evolves in a way very similar to previously documented mesoscale convective systems, with a midlevel mesocyclone developing in the stratiform precipitation region. More unusually, the cyclone extends to low altitudes: A weak cyclone is discernable even in the 300-m altitude wind field. After another day of evolution, a small, surface-based warm-core cyclone is observed to develop within the relatively cold air associated with the mesocyclone aloft. This mesocyclone develops into a hurricane over the subsequent day. A nonhydrostatic, axisymmetric numerical model is used to explore the evolution of the initially cold-core, midlevel vortex into a tropical cyclone. A mesoscale, midlevel “showerhead” is switched on in an initially quiescent, tropical atmosphere overlying a warm ocean surface. Evaporation of t...