Analysis of Aircraft Evasion Strategies in Air-to-Air Missille Effectiveness Models

Abstract
This report presents a new methodology with which to quantify missile effectiveness and aircraft vulnerability. The approach is a blend of applications of optimal control theory, stochastic learning theory, and simulation. This methodology permits an evaluation of aircraft evasive maneuvering and countermeasures deployment strategy as an integral part of the effectiveness/vulnerability measurements. The strategy determination is a form of feedback control policy based upon a discretized set of information thresholds in the relative coordinate space as would be available to an evading aircraft pilot. The optimization criteria of an evading aircraft is that of maximizing the survival probability for all relative coordinates. The representative model chosen for illustration is evasion from a close range air- to-air IR guided missile.

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