A simulation spatial model of the spread of foot-and-mouth disease through the primary movement of milk
- 1 August 1976
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Epidemiology and Infection
- Vol. 77 (1) , 1-9
- https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022172400055455
Abstract
SUMMARY: A computer model was constructed to mimic the 1967–8 foot-and-mouth epizootic in Shropshire and Cheshire, but the daily spatial distribution of outbreaks was randomized. This pattern of outbreaks was then examined to determine what percentage of outbreaks would fulfil an arbitrary set of criteria for milk-lorry-borne disease, or the primary movement of milk. Some 21% of herds visited subsequent to a ‘source farm’ were affected, as were 4% of herds visited after any infected herd. The relevance of these results to the true risk of disease through the primary movement of milk off affected farms is discussed.This publication has 5 references indexed in Scilit:
- The involvement of milk in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease: an epidemiological studyPublished by Wiley ,1970
- Foot-and-mouth disease virus in milk: an epidemiological studyPublished by Wiley ,1970
- Studies on the 1967–8 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic: The relation of weather to the spread of diseaseEpidemiology and Infection, 1970
- The epizootiology and epidemiology of foot and mouth disease.1970
- The outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in WorcestershireEpidemiology and Infection, 1969