Contemporary geography dominates butterfly diversity gradients within the Aegean archipelago (Lepidoptera: Papilionoidea, Hesperioidea)

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Abstract
Aim We compare the influence of contemporary geography and historical influences on butterfly diversity for islands in the Aegean archipelago.Location The Aegean archipelago (Greece) and two islands (Cyprus and Megisti) in the Levantine Sea.Methods Thirty‐one islands were examined. Data are taken from own surveys (Coutsis and Olivier) and from the literature. Stepwise multiple regression is used to determine relationships between species richness, frequency, rarity and endemicity against potential geographical predictors. Stepwise logit regression is used to determine geographical predictors of species incidence on islands. Inter‐island and inter‐species associations have been examined using multivariate ordination and clustering techniques.Results The Aegean butterfly fauna is characterized by decreasing diversity and rarity, and increasing homogeneity, from the periphery to the present geographical centre of the archipelago (Cyclades). Diversity and rarity are shown to relate closely to species richness, and species richness, in turn, is largely explained by contemporary geography, particularly the degree of isolation from the nearest mainland sources of Greece or Turkey, and island dimensions. Islands towards the centre of the archipelago are characterized by a group of mobile species (n ≥ 20 species) with extensive ranges across Europe; species that would have recolonized Santorini (Thira) following the VI6 eruption therec.1630 bc. Endemic components, indicative of autochthonous evolutionary events, are few (5% of species are endemic) compared to known sedentary organisms (molluscs and isopods), but exceed those for more mobile animals (i.e. birds); their distribution is mainly confined to large isolated islands along the Aegean arc (i.e. Kriti) and in the Dodecanese group.Main conclusions Contemporary geography, i.e. processes currently operating in ecological time, dominates butterfly diversity gradients (species richness, frequency, rarity and incidence) in the archipelago. Two reasons are suggested to account for the lack of endemism and the pattern of decreasing diversity into the Cyclades. First, relict butterfly elements may have become extinct on all but a few larger islands, particularly from environmental changes since the Neolithic (fire and overgrazing). Second, colonization from the continental landmasses is ongoing with more mobile species transferring even to the most isolated islands.