Phase‐locked and asymmetric correlations of the wintertime atmospheric patterns with the ENSO
Open Access
- 1 September 1998
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Atmosphere-Ocean
- Vol. 36 (3) , 213-239
- https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.1998.9649612
Abstract
Teleconnections between sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the Pacific and the dominant patterns of wintertime Northern Hemisphere 500‐hPa height are examined by applying statistical techniques such as rotated principal component analysis and composite analysis. It is shown that the Pacific/North American (PNA) patterns in December through March are correlated most significantly with the ENSO‐related SST anomalies in the previous October, while the western Pacific (WP) patterns in December through February are most closely linked to the ENSO‐related SST anomalies in the same season. In addition, the PNA response to the ENSO signal during La Niña events is more significant than that during El Niño events, while the WP response is stronger during El Niño events than during La Niña events. A composite analysis shows that in the El Niño winters the North Pacific centre of the PNA pattern is located about 10 degrees east of its normal position, leading to a less significant correlation between the ENSO signal and the PNA pattern in these winters. The ENSO‐related SST anomalies include a large centre of action over the tropical Pacific and an oppositely signed anomaly centre over the North Pacific. The North Pacific centre appears to the west of the dateline in September and October. This ENSO‐related seed of SST anomalies slowly moves eastward in the following months, gradually cutting off its connection with SST anomalies over the tropical Pacific and being coupled with the PNA pattern. It is pointed out that, although the wintertime SST anomaly over the North Pacific may appear as a mode linearly independent of the ENSO signal in the same season, it is partially related to the ENSO signal in the preceding autumn. Possible dynamical explanations of the above results are discussed. It is suggested that the WP pattern can be linked to the tropical Pacific heat source via advection of vorticity by the upper‐tropospheric divergent/convergent flow, and the intensification of vorticity gradients associated with a stronger east Asian jet is likely to be responsible for a more significant WP pattern response to the ENSO signal in the El Niño winters. On the other hand, the ENSO‐related PNA pattern could be considered a manifestation of the eastward extension (El Niño) or westward withdrawal (La Niña) of the east Asian jet stream due to the local Hadley cell over the Pacific. In addition, the ENSO‐related seed of extratropical SST anomaly over the western Pacific in autumn may also play an important role in the development of the PNA pattern in the following winter.Keywords
This publication has 65 references indexed in Scilit:
- Atmospheric Predictability of Seasonal, Annual, and Decadal Climate Means and the Role of the ENSO Cycle: A Model StudyJournal of Climate, 1997
- Interdecadal and Interannual Variability in the Northern Extratropical Circulation Simulated with the JMA Global Model. Part I: Wintertime Leading ModeJournal of Climate, 1995
- Low-frequency variabilities for widely different basic flowsTellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 1995
- Periods of Linear Development of the ENSO Cycle and POP Forecast ExperimentsJournal of Climate, 1995
- Dynamic Forcing of the Slow Transients by Synoptic-Scale Eddies: An Observational StudyJournal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1993
- An observational study of the energy transfer between the seasonal mean flow and transient eddiesTellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 1991
- A General Circulation Model Study of the Atmospheric Response to Extratropical SST Anomalies Observed in 1950–79Journal of Climate, 1990
- Global Temperature Variations in the Troposphere and Stratosphere, 1958–1982Monthly Weather Review, 1983
- Comparison of Variations in Atmospheric Quantities with Sea Surface Temperature Variations in the Equatorial Eastern PacificMonthly Weather Review, 1981
- Ocean temperatures and large scale atmospheric variationsNature, 1976