Predicting Dangerousness of Maximum Security Forensic Mental Patients

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Abstract
Demographic and psychological test data were collected for 269 adult male forensic patients upon admission to the forensic unit of a state psychiatric hospital. Each individual was judged to be dangerous or not dangerous by a panel of three judges. A separate sample of 135 patients was then collected and an attempt made to predict clinical judgment of dangerousness by use of a weighted formula previously derived. Predictions obtained did not attain statistical significance. A subsample of 165 patients was followed up after discharge. There were 15 arrests for violent crime recorded for these individuals subsequent to discharge. Implications of these findings are discussed.

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