MIGRATION AND EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ON THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL DIMENSIONS OF THE LINKAGE*

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Abstract
This paper uses a unique set of data to estimatesaza the magnitude of the linkages between employment changes and net employment migration. A simple simultaneous system is specified and estimated for 17 consecutive years. In an average year two extra jobs attract about one additional net migrant, and one additional net migrant has a direct effect on area employment of almost 1.4 jobs. These relationships differ over the cycle, however. The migrant-attractive power of another job rises during national upswings and falls during downswings. Moreover, during national expansions migrants have a less direct impact on area employment.

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