Earnings-Based and Accrual-Based Market Anomalies: One Effect or Two?
Preprint
- 25 May 1999
- preprint
- Published by Elsevier in SSRN Electronic Journal
Abstract
This paper investigates whether the accrual pricing anomaly documented by Sloan (1996) for annual data holds for quarterly data and whether this form of market mispricing is distinct from the post-earnings announcement drift anomaly. We find that the market appears to overestimate (underestimate) the persistence of the accrual (cash flow) component of quarterly earnings and, therefore, tends to overprice (underprice) accruals (cash flows). Moreover, the accrual (cash flow) mispricing appears to be distinct from post-earnings announcement drift. A hedge portfolio trading strategy that exploits both forms of market mispricing generates abnormal returns in excess of those based on unexpected earnings, accruals, or cash flow information alone.Keywords
This publication has 19 references indexed in Scilit:
- Errors in Estimating Accruals: Implications for Empirical ResearchSSRN Electronic Journal, 1999
- Accounting‐Based Stock Price Anomalies: Separating Market Inefficiencies from Risk*Contemporary Accounting Research, 1997
- How naive is the stock market's use of earnings information?Journal of Accounting and Economics, 1996
- SEC Form 10K/10Q Reports and Annual Reports to Shareholders: Reporting Lags and Squared Market Model Prediction ErrorsJournal of Accounting Research, 1993
- The earnings-price anomalyJournal of Accounting and Economics, 1992
- Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current earnings for future earningsJournal of Accounting and Economics, 1990
- Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: Delayed Price Response or Risk Premium?Journal of Accounting Research, 1989
- The relationship between return and market value of common stocksJournal of Financial Economics, 1981
- Univariate Time-Series Models of Quarterly Accounting Earnings per Share: A Proposed ModelJournal of Accounting Research, 1979
- INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE OF COMMON STOCKS IN RELATION TO THEIR PRICE‐EARNINGS RATIOS: A TEST OF THE EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESISThe Journal of Finance, 1977