Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Top Cited Papers
- 3 September 2009
- journal article
- review article
- Published by Springer Nature in Nature
- Vol. 461 (7260) , 53-59
- https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08227
Abstract
Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.Keywords
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