Testing stationarity and trend stationarity against the unit root hypothesis
- 1 January 1993
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Econometric Reviews
- Vol. 12 (1) , 1-32
- https://doi.org/10.1080/07474939308800252
Abstract
In this paper we propose a family of relativel simple nonparametrics tests for a unit root in a univariate time series. Almost all the tests proposed in the literature test the unit root hypothesis against the alternative that the time series involved is stationarity or trend stationary. In this paper we take the (trend) stationarity hypothesis as the null and the unit root hypothesis as the alternative. The order differnce with most of the tests proposed in the literature is that in all four cases the asymptotic null distribution is of a well-known type, namely standard Cauchy. In the first instance we propose four Cauchy tests of the stationarity hypothesis against the unit root hypothesis. Under H1 these four test statistics involved, divided by the sample size n, converge weakly to a non-central Cauchy distribution, to one, and to the product of two normal variates, respectively. Hence, the absolute values of these test statistics converge in probability to infinity 9at order n). The tests involved are therefore consistent against the unit root hypothesis. Moreover, the small sample performance of these test are compared by Monte Carlo simulations. Furthermore, we propose two additional Cauchy tests of the trend stationarity hypothesis against the alternative of a unit root with drift.Keywords
This publication has 12 references indexed in Scilit:
- Testing for a unit root in time series regressionBiometrika, 1988
- A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance MatrixEconometrica, 1987
- Time Series Regression with a Unit RootEconometrica, 1987
- Testing for unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models of unknown orderBiometrika, 1984
- Testing for Unit Roots: 2Econometrica, 1984
- A Functional Central Limit Theorem for Weakly Dependent Sequences of Random VariablesThe Annals of Probability, 1984
- Nonlinear Regression with Dependent ObservationsEconometrica, 1984
- Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit RootEconometrica, 1981
- Testing For Unit Roots: 1Econometrica, 1981
- Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit RootJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1979