A First-Principles Model of Early Evolution: Emergence of Gene Families, Species, and Preferred Protein Folds

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Abstract
In this work we develop a microscopic physical model of early evolution where phenotype—organism life expectancy—is directly related to genotype—the stability of its proteins in their native conformations—which can be determined exactly in the model. Simulating the model on a computer, we consistently observe the “Big Bang” scenario whereby exponential population growth ensues as soon as favorable sequence–structure combinations (precursors of stable proteins) are discovered. Upon that, random diversity of the structural space abruptly collapses into a small set of preferred proteins. We observe that protein folds remain stable and abundant in the population at timescales much greater than mutation or organism lifetime, and the distribution of the lifetimes of dominant folds in a population approximately follows a power law. The separation of evolutionary timescales between discovery of new folds and generation of new sequences gives rise to emergence of protein families and superfamilies whose sizes are power-law distributed, closely matching the same distributions for real proteins. On the population level we observe emergence of species—subpopulations that carry similar genomes. Further, we present a simple theory that relates stability of evolving proteins to the sizes of emerging genomes. Together, these results provide a microscopic first-principles picture of how first-gene families developed in the course of early evolution. Here, we address the question of how Darwinian evolution of organisms determines molecular evolution of their proteins and genomes. We developed a microscopic ab initio model of early biological evolution where the fitness (essentially lifetime) of an organism is explicitly related to the evolving sequences of its proteins. The main assumption of the model is that the death rate of an organism is determined by the stability of the least stable of their proteins. A lattice model is used to calculate stability of all proteins in a genome from their amino acid sequence. The simulation of the model starts from 100 identical organisms, each carrying the same random gene, and proceeds via random mutations, gene duplication, organism births via replication, and organism deaths. We find that exponential population growth is possible only after the discovery of a very small number of specific advantageous protein structures. The number of genes in the evolving organisms depends on the mutation rate, demonstrating the intricate relationship between the genome sizes and protein stability requirements. Further, the model explains the observed power-law distributions of protein family and superfamily sizes, as well as the scale-free character of protein structural similarity graphs. Together, these results and their analysis suggest a plausible comprehensive scenario of emergence of the protein universe in early biological evolution.
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