Simple blood tests as noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis in hemodialysis patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection†

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Abstract
HCV infection is common among patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on hemodialysis, and it has been considered an independent risk factor for mortality in this setting. Although liver biopsy in ESRD patients with HCV infection is useful before kidney transplantation, it carries a high risk of complications. We sought to assess the diagnostic value of noninvasive markers to stage liver fibrosis in 203 ESRD HCV-infected patients. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify variables associated with significant fibrosis (METAVIR F2, F3, or F4 stages). Significant liver fibrosis was observed in 48 patients (24%). Logistic regression analysis identified AST and platelet count as independent predictors of significant fibrosis (P < 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) for predicting significant fibrosis was 0.801. An APRI < 0.40 accurately identified patients with fibrosis stage 0 or 1 in 93% of the cases (NPV = 93%), and all misclassified subjects were F2. A cutoff ≥ 0.95 to confirm significant fibrosis had a PPV of 66%. If biopsy indication was restricted to APRI scores in the intermediate range (≥0.40 and < 0.95), 52% of liver biopsies could have been correctly avoided. Conclusion: Stage of liver fibrosis can be reliably predicted in ESRD HCV-infected subjects by simple and widely available blood tests such as AST levels and platelet count. These tests might obviate the requirement for a liver biopsy in a significant proportion of those patients. (HEPATOLOGY 2007.)