Progress in Monthly Climate Forecasting with a Physical Model
Open Access
- 1 December 1981
- journal article
- Published by American Meteorological Society in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
- Vol. 62 (12) , 1666-1675
- https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477-62.12.1666
Abstract
A long-range forecasting technique, based on a physical model that emphasizes thermodynamics, is applied to the prediction of anomalies of temperature and precipitation for the Northern Hemisphere. Monthly forecasts are initialized with the sea surface temperature, 700 mb temperature and surface albedo, including variable snow-ice conditions. Application to the hot spell and drought in the summer of 1980 for the contiguous United States shows very encouraging skill when verified for the standard 100-station NOAA grid.Keywords
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